Yesterday the World Bank in association with an influential Chinese think tank (the DRC) released a highly anticipated report entitled 'China 2030: Building a modern, harmonious and creative high income society.' This kind of advice document has a long provenance - in medieval europe they were known as specula principum or the 'mirror of princes' - the most famous example of which may be the letter of Aristotle to Alexander the Great. At heart such literature is the product of two complementary paradoxes - princes have all the power to act but little time to reflect, philosophers have leisure to ponder but lack the power to build their utopias. Of course the relationship was never so equal - the power dynamic was always highly asymmetric, and it was a brave philosopher/poet who wrote a true critique of the executive. Though the pen may be mightier than the sword, power, as Mao knew well, grows out of the barrel of a gun.
So there you have it, the philosophers of the World Bank (and DRC) are bringing their wisdom to the feet of China's princes (or should that be princelings?) - the key questions will be (as they have always been) - how far will said philosophers dare to offend their princes in the way of real critique; how incisive will their analysis and prescriptions be; and what chance do their prescriptions have of being enacted?
Here it is - it's a chunky 468 pages long though, so on the assumption that unless you're an inveterate China geek you won't be ploughing through this one, here is my initial gloss:
First order of business - what do they mean by the adjective-laden (and evidently decided-by-committee) title?
A modern society is industrialized and urbanized and enjoys a quality of life that is on par with the Western world. This society would have modern values, a modern economic and social structure, with access to contemporary, state-of-the-art product and process technologies, and would engage and contribute as an equal with other nations in the discourse of the modern world on all subjects. Note: our 'modern values' may not be quite the same as your 'modern values' - such fetishization of the modern for its own sake is worrying in any case: as Chesterton opined - The real objection to modernism is simply that it is a form of snobbishness. It is an attempt to crush a rational opponent not by reason, but by some mystery of superiority, by hinting that one is especially up to date or particularly 'in the know' - my preference, tbh, is for crossing the river by feeling the stones, rather than striding out into the current where all the best logic of modernity tells you there should be stones...
As a harmonious society, China sees three interrelated goals. First, its own policies need to be inclusive and just, aimed at eliminating most social and economic boundaries and at building a society in which everyone has a common stake in the country’s economic, social, legal, and political institutions. China would like to see a society where people show mutual respect, disputes are resolved justly and peacefully through accepted norms, laws, regulations, and practices—and the institutional structure is quick to adapt to society’s changing needs and aspirations. (consultative leninism) Second, China sees itself living in balance with nature, in which its ecological foot- print—the use of resources and creation of waste—are consistent with the biological capacity of its (and the world’s) land, water, and air resources given existing technology. And third, China would like to see itself as an equal, constructive, and accepted partner in the community of nations, working peace- fully and cooperatively toward common goals, and engaging constructively on global issues and in global institutions.
As a creative society, China sees itself building its future prosperity on innovation in which everyone’s creative potential is tapped. Its success will lie in its ability to produce more value, not more products, enabling it to move up the value chain and compete globally in the same product space as advanced countries. (and whence flies comparative advantage when we're all selling each other internet advertising?) Creativity will manifest itself not just in product and process technology, but also in cultural and artistic pursuits. If successful, China’s experience could potentially be a beacon for other middle-income developing countries to follow.
As a high-income society, China’s aspiration is to enjoy a per capita income on par with advanced economies; have a large middle class that acts as a force for stability, good governance, and economic progress; eliminate poverty as it is known today; and pro- mote social harmony by increasing equality of opportunity and lowering inequality in all its economic and social dimensions.
more to follow...